Iran

Iran’s Ruin: How a Theocracy Made Its Own Unbelief

6 January 2026

6.2 MINS

A firsthand reflection on Iran’s revolution reveals how Khomeini’s theocratic vision has collapsed—eroding faith, legitimacy, and belief—leaving a society already beyond clerical rule.

I can still see myself as a ten-year-old boy watching Walter Cronkite on the evening news and counting the days Americans were held hostage during the Iranian Revolution. At that time, Iran was not just an idea; it came into American homes every night as something new, scary, and real.

After the shock of October 7, I finally read Ayatollah Khomeini’s Islamic Government: Governance of the Jurist, which was the plan for that revolution. Khomeini spoke with calm confidence about how Islam would eventually win over the West. He said that history was moving in one direction.

But as we read the news today, things have drastically changed. Not only is Khomeini’s vision failing — it is also actively destroying itself.

When Sacred Authority Replaced Accountability

The Islamic Republic now rules over a society that has already moved on. Its leaders still kill, imprison, and threaten people, but they don’t try to convince them anymore. This is the end for a government that says it has God’s authority instead of the people’s.

The “Guardianship of the Jurist,” or wilayat al-faqih, was the main idea behind Khomeini’s ideas. He argued that because the Shi‘a messiah, the Hidden Imam, is not present, political power should be held by a supreme Islamic jurist acting on behalf of God.

This judge would not have to worry about elections, courts, or being held accountable to the public. People would no longer see disagreement as political dissent; they would see it as religious rebellion. The system said it would make things morally clear. It gave people power that no one could question.

It’s not just the level of dissent that makes this moment different; it’s also how confused the regime is about how to deal with it. The state no longer speaks with ideological certainty; it makes things up as it goes along. Instead of theology, there are threats; instead of explanation, there is repression; and instead of persuasion, there is silence.

Even the language of loyalists now sounds more defensive than triumphant. When a government that says God is always right starts to act strategically in response to events, something deeper has already gone wrong. This isn’t just instability; it’s a crisis of meaning happening right now.

Before this teaching, Shi’a people had different ideas. Shi’a clerics did not rule directly in the past. They were instead teachers of morality and the law. Khomeini didn’t like this limit and said that God wanted clerical rule to happen. He mixed religious truth with state power, which made the line between faith and force less clear. Once faith was needed, it was impossible to be honest. The system made sure that people did what they were told, but it also made sure that people didn’t believe.

After Khomeini took power, he quickly got rid of any opposition. Revolutionary courts had a lot of power and didn’t follow the rules very well. Ebrahim Raisi was in charge of the mass killings of political opponents and people who were thought to be dissidents. Later, he became president.

During the first few years of the Islamic Republic, thousands of people were killed or sent to prison. The regime’s main goal wasn’t just to make people afraid; it was to scare them. The state made violence a part of religion.

Khomeini promised fairness and a return to morality. Instead, he made repression holy. Piety was redefined as brutality, and virtue as submission. Over time, this change weakened both religion and authority. People still had to follow the rules, but their faith in the government began to fade. That decay would not be able to be stopped.

Khomeini didn’t think Iran would be his last stop. He saw the Islamic Republic as the driving force behind a worldwide Islamic revolution that would free Muslims from Western control and wipe out Israel. This way of thinking was not just a side effect; it was a big part of it. Israel became the regime’s spiritual enemy, and they blamed it for both Iran’s problems at home and the region’s instability. People praised martyrdom as a good thing, and death was seen as a victory.

But a system that makes endless struggle holy must also give back transcendent meaning. Iran did not. The country is tired, alone, and broken inside decades later. Israel, which many people thought was doomed by history, has gotten stronger and more connected to the region. The Islamic Republic is no longer the future of political Islam; it is now a relic that forces people to live in the past.

When Sacred Power Loses Its Audience

The regime’s self-negation is most evident in the widespread disbelief among the populace. Christianity has grown underground in Iran, even though apostasy is punishable by death.

At the time of the revolution, there were only a few hundred converts. Now, there are more than a million. This is not a coincidence, nor is it only because of Western influence. Christianity offers what the regime lacks: a moral framework free from coercion.

For many Iranians, Christianity means having a conscience without being watched, having dignity without being forced, and forgiving others without being loyal to a political party. Not only does theology bring in new members, but so does the lack of force.

Islam is also losing its credibility at the same time. Almost half of Iranians now say they don’t have a religion, and only a small number still say they are Shi’a Muslims. A theocracy that makes people not believe in God is not broken; it is working exactly as it should.

There have been protests in Iran before, but they were still within the moral framework set by the government. Millions of Iranians don’t argue with the system anymore; they just ignore it. A state can endure anger; it cannot endure apathy towards its sacred assertions.

When people stop being afraid of God as the regime defines Him, repression loses its spiritual support. What is breaking now is not order, but the story that used to make it make sense.

Women are now the regime’s biggest threat. Khomeini’s system relied on patriarchal control as an evident manifestation of Islamic order. This included rules about how women should dress, move, and what their legal status should be. The goal of these controls was to show moral authority. They showed moral bankruptcy over time. The death of Mahsa Amini in 2022 took away any last pretence.

Women who took off their hijabs, cut their hair, and led protests were not asking for policy changes. They were giving a theological judgement. Their resistance showed that fear and coercion can’t make someone virtuous or faithful. Women are not requesting inclusion in wilayat al-faqih. They are proving that it can’t exist.

Under Islamic rule, Khomeini promised fairness in the economy. Instead, what came out was a clerical oligarchy. The Revolutionary Guard controls most of the economy, and religious foundations work without being watched. Inflation, unemployment, and lower living standards are problems for regular Iranians. Wealth moves up and out, paying for foreign militias while the infrastructure at home falls apart. There is no way to hide the contradiction.

This has caused a lot of quiet panic among the clerical class. Clerics rule in God’s name, but they can see God lose credibility in real time. They make people follow rituals that they don’t believe in anymore and punish people who break them. This mental conflict leads to stricter enforcement, not change. The more faith breaks down, the more violence takes its place.

For decades, the regime has used antisemitism as a way to hold itself up. Israel is not just an enemy; it is also the regime’s religious excuse. As long as Israel is there, failure can be seen as resistance. Without Israel, the government would have to answer to its own people and to God. Tehran has to be hostile towards Israel. It is necessary for survival.

But even this scaffolding isn’t working. Iran has gotten weaker, but Israel has not. Proxy wars have not made Israel an outcast; instead, they have brought Arab states closer together. The Abraham Accords marked a regional transition from ideological fixation to pragmatic collaboration. Iran was left preaching metaphysics to a region that was choosing to live in the real world. Antisemitism couldn’t save a system that was already falling apart from the inside.

A Society Already Beyond Theocracy

The more important question is whether this moment will end in failure or success. The Islamic Republic has crossed a line that can’t be crossed again. Regimes based on sacred authority do not slowly regain trust after it is lost; they last until they break.

Now the question is not if people believe in the system, but how long it can work without belief. Overthrows are events, but delegitimisation is a process that has already happened.

Khomeini thought that history was going in the direction of his beliefs. It didn’t. Systems that say something is sacred and can’t be changed always fall apart first in belief, not power. Iran has already gone past that point.

The society that will outlive the Islamic Republic is already post-theocratic, whether the government wants to admit it or not. Faith has become private, authority has lost its sacredness, and fear has lost its mystery.

The next government will have to deal with a population that no longer thinks that clerical rule is God’s will. Wilayat al-faqih has not only failed to govern effectively; it has also obliterated the moral conditions essential for its own existence.

Khomeini will not be remembered as a prophet of fate. People will remember him as the man who showed that when power says it speaks for God, it eventually makes people stop believing in both.

___

Image courtesy of Wikimedia Commons.

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3 Comments

  1. 0420391077f8111996bb838f71e47c0f9bd9c371f65b3429541324068047dbf1?s=54&d=mm&r=g
    countess antonia scrivanich 6 January 2026 at 2:17 pm - Reply

    The Revolution of 1979 was a blend of Marxism and Islam. It was conceived in Paris. The same blend of Marxism and ideology of World Conquest by Islam is what we see in our Street Marches and hear chanted, and, the picture of Khomeini being carried across the Sydney Harbour Bridge as some sort of hero , not the Monster who tortures and murders his people in the name of God. How dare Australia’s politicians permit this incitement to kill people , including us ?
    Half the population of Iran is composed of young people who want a normal life like in the West. Western Media paints the rebellion as one exclusively against economic mismanagement , when in fact, people are fed up with the dictator and his brand of Islam. They want Democracy, the Right to choose their own Ruler and Laws . Many people do not practise their religion by attending Friday prayers in mosques, etc. They want democratic and religious freedom , the right to play music in public, to dress as they want, their country’s great oil wealth spent on Iran and on them rather than on foreign regimes or to destroy Israel and the USA. Many want to convert to Christianity or to return to their ancient faith of Zorastrianism. No one in Iran is allowed to question Khomeini’s interpretation of Islam in which he is the One and Only person with that Right to which all Iranians must “Submit ” as if he were God ! He has funded many Terrorist groups to destroy Israel(kill all Jews ) and to destroy the West (includes Australia). These groups are The Islamic Brotherhood, ISIS, Hizb utTrahrir, Hamas , Hezbollah, the Taliban, ” “Free Gaza ” , ” Support Free Palestine “, and many others . Charities in Australia and elsewhere throughout the West fund these Terrorist groups which are disguised as ” Charities ” . Italy is currently investigating some 37 charities which fund Terrorism. I watched an interview about legitimate charities but which should still be scrutinised :- ” Save the Children”, “Medecines Sans Frontieres” ; ” Red Cross” , “Caritas ” , and many, many more because a lot of money which should feed educate, provide medical help , etc, is siphoned to buy weapons , explosives and to Iran’s dream of creating nuclear bombs. I suspect millions or billions of Australian dollars are going to fund terrorism and enslave people like the unfortunate Iranians. It is time to stop this Fraud , especially while Australia goes more and more into Trillion dollar debt just like the billions of Oil money which Iran should be spending on its own people who now live in poverty while Khomeini funds World Terrorism with Qatar. Like us ,the Iranian people have been disarmed. Arab mercenaries ride motorbikes shooting unarmed Iranian demonstrators who shout : ” Death to Khomeini”; ” We want the Shah (king ) “, men shouting : ” We are NOT Arabs. We are Aryans !” This is a reference to the fact that the majority of Iranians are not ethnic Arabs , but, Persians who were forcibly conquered and made Muslim in about 7 or 8 century AD by foreigners (the Arabs ) . I saw an old woman ( using a wheeler to stand up ) shouting for revolution, and, a mother, whose young son had just been murdered, dancing in public which is an Iranian tradition of showing defiance against the Khomeini Regime .Watching innocent people being murdered is heart-breaking. Unarmed, they need and hope for US help, but, the USA has many military bases across the region, including in Qatar and Turkey which could be attacked , and , not far away is nuclear Muslim fanatic Pakistan , and, the Taliban in Afghanistan. The USA has to consider carefully what its next move will be ? In the meantime, the USA, France and the UK have moved more troops into bases in Europe.Preparation for War ? I hope the Iranians are not once again tortured and slaughtered for nothing. They deserve our prayers. One day, not far away , we could be in exactly the same awful situation of loss of freedoms and enslavement by the same people who forced their religion on Persia (Iran).

  2. f910f8648b50864a0a4fa9cff6838335a9df65757870ba46526d3fd0fd4d5768?s=54&d=mm&r=g
    Ian Moncrieff 7 January 2026 at 3:56 pm - Reply

    Brilliant expose Dr Tim. Thank you.

  3. b1b06bf57b47e9cbad50099332eeb55629ee6408df357b7d351fb07d4b47774f?s=54&d=mm&r=g
    Thomas Schaab 12 May 2026 at 1:50 pm - Reply

    This entire article is just straight AI. Put into to GPT Zero and it will say its 100% AI.

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