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Data from across the Western world shows an unusual excess death spike that demands an explanation.

At least 30 Western nations are experiencing a coincidental spike in excess deaths years after the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to statistics from national databases.

Examples of the national data in question have been circulating for months on social media. This week, up-to-date statistics were collated and summarised by Covid commentator Dr John Campbell. A retired Ph.D. nurse educator from northern England, Campbell has had over 600 million views on his popular YouTube channel.

Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada and New Zealand, as well as 25 European countries or subnational regions, all have rising excess mortality data showing hundreds of thousands of collective excess deaths during the latter half of 2022.

“I think we are in somewhat of an international emergency,” the usually understated Campbell tells viewers in his most recent video.

Despite heavy interest from the legacy press in daily deaths during the pandemic, mainstream news outlets are yet to show any interest in the highly unusual spike in worldwide excess mortality.

What the Excess Death Statistics Say

In the United States, excess deaths throughout 2022 total more than 242,000, per CDC and census data. According to Campbell, this is the opposite of what should be expected since so many of the nation’s vulnerable already died during the pandemic and immunity should be higher now than in recent years.

Excess mortality also remains high in Canada, though currently, Statistics Canada only provides data until August 2022.

In Australia, the most recent provisional mortality statistics show almost 20,000 more deaths than the historical average — a 16% spike. Less than half of these, or 8,160, are attributable to Covid-19. The remainder are yet unexplained, though a significant number have been referred to coroners.

New Zealand has seen a 10% rise in deaths between 2021 and 2022 per StatsNZ data.

Excess Death Data in the UK and Europe

Statistics bureaus in the United Kingdom are releasing particularly worrisome data. During a single week in January, almost 20,000 deaths were recorded, or 20.4% more than the historical average. As Campbell points out, in raw numbers that week more UK citizens died than there were victims in the 2001 World Trade Centre terrorist attack, yet the press has responded with “a deafening silence”.

As elsewhere, in the UK, Covid-19 cases and hospitalisations are going down and intensive care admissions remain low, even as excess deaths are up, indicating that the vast majority of these excess deaths are not attributable to Covid-19. Indeed, only 5.3% of UK deaths involve Covid-19, per the Office for National Statistics.

According to EuroMOMO data, all-cause mortality is significantly up in 25 European nations or subnational regions. Elevated levels of excess mortality are seen in all age groups compared to average levels from before 2020.

Excess Deaths and the Bradford Hill criteria

In summarising the worldwide data trend, Campbell refers to the Bradford Hill criteria, a set of principles widely used in epidemiology to establish a causal relationship between an effect and its presumed cause.

According to Campbell, the Bradford Hill criteria has been met in the excess deaths fiasco, though he stops short of naming the probable cause for fear of violating YouTube’s so-called COVID-19 medical misinformation policy.

“I really hope this stops soon,” Campbell laments, adding, “But even if it did stop tomorrow, this demands an explanation.”

Image via Unsplash.