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The Albanese Government has unveiled its inaugural climate risk assessment and, according to the document, Brisbane will soon be the lost city of Atlantis and Townsville a mass grave.

The modelling claims that if we don’t take drastic action, Brisbane could flood 314 days a year.

As for Townsville, heat-related deaths would increase by 350 per cent by the end of the century.

The report, dripping with adjectives like “landmark” and “confronting”, tells us that by 2050, more than 1.5 million Australians will be at risk of rising sea levels.

If this sounds familiar, it’s because we’ve heard it all before…

Al Gore said the Arctic would be ice-free by 2013.

Spoiler alert: it’s not.

A senior United Nations environmental official warned us in 1989 that entire nations could be swallowed by rising seas by the year 2000.

Yet here we are, two decades past the deadline, and real estate prices in beachfront suburbs haven’t exactly collapsed.

If beachfront property is really doomed, why does every climate crusader from Barack Obama to Kevin Rudd keep buying it?

Didn’t Albo buy a beachfront home a couple of years ago?

Same Old, Same Old

The “comprehensive” assessment concludes that climate risks will be “cascading, compounding and concurrent.”

When government reports use that much alliteration, you know things are serious.

The government insists Australians are already experiencing the impacts of climate change, though curiously, those impacts always sound like things that have been happening since the dawn of time: floods, bushfires, cyclones, heatwaves.

Apparently, weather only became a problem after the Industrial Revolution.

Of course, the dire modelling lands just in time for Labor to unveil its 2035 emissions reduction target.

Which, I suspect, is the point.

The report seems to me, less science, more sales pitch — a glossy brochure designed to scare us into accepting higher power bills, fewer jobs, and more government control over every aspect of our lives.

The problem for the doomsayers is history.

We’ve endured decades of these prophecies, and they never seem to eventuate.

Remember Tim Flannery assuring us in 2007 that dams would never fill again?

Within a few years of that prediction, our dams were overflowing.

The predictions are always wrong, but never in a way that undermines the narrative.

Instead of saying, “Sorry, we were wrong,” the experts simply move the goalposts further down the field, confident that by the time the deadline passes, no one will remember.

Not Adding Up

And even if the predictions were true, there’s the small matter of arithmetic.

Australia contributes just one per cent of global carbon emissions. One per cent. If we shut down every coal plant, every factory, every farm, every ute, and all move back into caves, the difference to global temperatures would be precisely nil.

Meanwhile, China builds a new coal-fired power plant every other week, but we’re the ones told to shiver in the dark to save the planet.

The report warns natural disasters will cost the economy $40 billion annually by 2050, while property values will collapse by more than half a trillion dollars.

By the 2060s, climate change will allegedly rob us of 2.7 million workdays a year.

But here’s the thing: governments can’t even predict next year’s budget deficit.

They can’t keep track of immigration numbers.

They can’t tell you whether a major project will be finished on time or on budget.

Heck, they can’t even take a measly $275 off your power bill

Yet we’re supposed to believe they can model the climate, the economy, and human behaviour 40 years from now with decimal-point precision.

What we are witnessing is not science but storytelling — apocalypse as political theatre.

The Albanese Government’s climate risk assessment is less about rising seas than it is about rising taxes and regulations.

The climate scare is the perfect crisis: always urgent, never verifiable, and conveniently unsolvable, ensuring a permanent excuse for government expansion.

So forgive me if I don’t lose sleep over predictions of Brisbane becoming Waterworld and Townsville turning into Death Valley.

The experts have cried wolf too many times.

Until the beachfront homes of climate activists start washing away, I’ll keep assuming their modelling is about as reliable as their policy delivery.

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Republished with thanks to the James Macpherson Report. Image courtesy of Adobe.