
A Terror Attack is Probable, and Obfuscation is Unavoidable
The PM talks in riddles, but I think we know what he means.
Australians were told last week that the terror threat has been raised from “likely” to “probable”.
We were also told that “probable” didn’t mean “inevitable”.
And we were told that the decision to move from likely to probable was not based on any specific information. It was more a general sort of vibe on the part of our security agencies.
The description of where the probable threat will probably come from was sort of vibey as well.
“The nation’s domestic spy chief warned on Monday that surging levels of personal grievance and intolerance were driving disaffected Australians to violence.”
I had surging levels of personal grievance after being cut off at a roundabout last Friday. I can also be quite intolerant — gluten, dairy, and the like.
Is that what the domestic spy chief means? Am I someone they should be monitoring?
Personal grievances about what, specifically, will drive Australians to violence?
Interest rates?
Power bills?
The price of hot dogs at the MCG?
Our spy agencies are going to be watching everyone!
Beating Around the Bush
ASIO boss Mike Burgess went on to blame:
“ … social media for amplifying a raft of extremist ideologies and conspiracy theories.”
Social media amplifies ideologies for sure, but who, pray tell, are the ideologues?
And what are these extremist ideologies that have now made a terror attack “probable”?
Extreme Christianity is going to make someone extremely likely to do unto others as they could have others do unto them.
That doesn’t sound like an extreme ideology that makes a terror attack probable, or even likely.
I can’t ever remember seeing a Presbyterian church deacon wearing an explosive vest. Maybe I’ve just never met an extremist Presbyterian.
And what of those “probable” terrorists motivated by conspiracy theories?
I have a friend who believes the moon landing was a conspiracy. Before yesterday, I thought she was nuts. Now, I’m afraid she’s the kind of person ASIO is worried about. Do I make a citizen’s arrest?
On a personal note, I’m pretty certain big tech and the CIA interfered in the 2020 US presidential election, probably tipping it for Joe Biden. But wait. I’m not a terror threat because that is not a conspiracy theory. Remove the ankle bracelet — please?
Root Cause
“Mr Burgess put the threat of an attack over the next 12 months at higher than 50 per cent, warning young lone-wolf actors with guns and knives posed the biggest risk.”
Ok, so over the next year we’re looking for young people with a grievance. That really narrows it down.
Here’s a clue:
“ASIO boss Mike Burgess said the war in Gaza was contributing to the growing terrorist threat, which would escalate if the conflict spread to Southern Lebanon.
“But the rising tensions in the Middle East were not the only factor, he said.”
Aha!
So, the rising terror threat could have something to do with the “war in Gaza”. Still a little vague, but I think we can take a wild guess.
Please don’t say it, though. Just give me that knowing look. It’s safer.
And, of course, “rising tensions in the Middle East” (which is another way of saying what we all know, but cannot say) is “not the only factor”, which is another way of saying that it is.
Of course, we’ll play along and pretend that those extremist Salvation Army folk pose a threat with their tambourines and brass bands and shouts of “help the poor in Jesus’ name”.
Narrowing It Down
Anyway, The Australian went on to report that:
“The heightened threat level follows eight terrorist attacks or disruptions of terror plots since April, including the Wakeley church stabbing by a 16-year-old boy, which triggered more than two dozen further arrests.”
If only we had some kind of clue as to what may have triggered the Wakeley church stabbing.
All I will say at this point is that extremism by disaffected Presbyterians cannot be discounted.
It should be noted that the “more than two dozen further arrests” referred to — triggered by the church stabbing — were for rioting, not for terrorism.
It’s an unfortunate but inescapable fact of life that people tend to riot when their Church minister is stabbed in the eye by a um, you know… person with a grievance that may or may not be related to a conspiracy theory they saw on social media while researching extreme vegetarianism.
Or maybe he was motivated by Islam. But, seriously, what would be the chances?
It’s far more likely, by which I now mean probable, that the motivation was something more sinister, by which I mean more vague.
The Prime Minister called on Australians to:
“lower the temperature of debate.”
Which I would do if I knew what the “debate” was.
But then,
He blasted the Greens party, which has accused Labor of “complicity in genocide”, saying its encouragement of protesters who have blockaded and vandalised Labor MPs’ offices is designed to trigger a partisan response.
Hmm. So we’re worried that promoting the idea that a genocide is being committed against the Palestinians might encourage intolerant people with personal grievances who believe in wild conspiracy theories to commit violent acts of terror?
Okay, now I know exactly who we’re talking about. I think.
___
Republished with thanks to The James Macpherson Report.
Subscribe to his Substack here for daily witty commentary.
Image courtesy of Adobe.
One Comment
Leave A Comment
Recent Articles:
24 June 2026
4.8 MINS
After scoring the sixth-fastest goal in FIFA's 2026 World Cup, Christian footballer Felix Nmecha dropped to one knee and symbolically laid his crown at the feet of Christ. It's a gesture that captures everything about him: faith first, football second.
24 June 2026
2.9 MINS
If you’re a parent or a grandparent, you probably worry about what your child or grandchild is learning at school. In the first of its kind in Australia, a survey has been launched to measure parent attitudes to Respectful Relationship sessions in schools.
24 June 2026
5.9 MINS
Nation First looks into Keir Starmer’s resignation and why Anthony Albanese should be worried by the same policy failures now haunting Labor at home.
24 June 2026
4.1 MINS
Rupert Lowe has just released The Rape Gang Inquiry Report. Occurring over decades, some 250,000 girls were raped, tortured, and abused, with some even killed. Yet authorities and the media covered up these diabolical crimes in the interests of not being 'racist' and 'Islamophobic'.
24 June 2026
9.8 MINS
Starmer’s reign was characterised by periods of unrest and violence, massive scandals and a two-tiered justice system that targeted Brits while giving special treatment to Muslim immigrants. The Rape Gang Report alleges Starmer allowed 13,000 Muslim rapists go with letters of warning, while Brits who spoke up against the injustice were penalised.
23 June 2026
5.4 MINS
Gabbard released 1,600 pages of declassified documents on her final day in office revealing how the intelligence community built a protective structure around Fauci and defended it in the name of national security.
23 June 2026
4 MINS
Christian, captain and soccer legend Lionel “Leo” Messi is giving all the glory to God as he makes FIFA 2026 World Cup headlines. The Argentinian is widely respected for his integrity, humility and the way he carries himself on and off the pitch.






Thankyou James for that clearcut info. Word salads from people “in authority” do nothing to allay fear in people because they don’t make sense !